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US voters identifying as Independents recently hit a record of 43%: this trend has been growing quickly and steadily since 2008, at the cost of both Republican and Democratic voters.

One might assume that this means more Americans are identifying as moderate rather than liberal or conservative, but it’s not true:

In fact, the number of moderates has decreased slightly in the same time period, with both liberals and conservatives seeing a bump. (Interestingly, the plurality of Americans self-identify as conservative, but Republicans have the fewest registered voters.)

Approval for both parties dropping to historic lows may explain Americans’ flight towards being Independents despite no major changes in ideology, but let’s consider: why aren’t American parties able to change in a way that increases their share of registered voters? With voter support being the existential need for any political party, why are both losing voters like never before in modern politics? Is it related to Americans blocking out those who disagree with them?

Join us at the forum where we’ve already kicked off the discussion!

45 Comments

  • Chris McAdam, April 14, 2015 @ 2:55 pm Reply

    This is a hypothesis, based on merely looking at the lines. It could be wildly off.

    Moderate Democrats are leaving the party The platform has skewed to the left, and they don’t like being identified with some of those positions. They still tend to VOTE Democrat.

    Moderate Republicans are leaving the party. The platform has skewed to the right, ditto not liking being linked to positions they don’t support. They also still tend to VOTE Republican.

    Hypothesis : the voting hasn’t changed. The ideological makeup of the electorate hasn’t changed. The desire to be identified with the platform has changed, so some people changed their labels.

  • Something to Consider, April 14, 2015 @ 3:40 pm Reply

    I actually really like this hypothesis. "I don’t like you, but at least you’re not the other guy that I like less."

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